Brand leads Clippers to win over Grizzlies

Basketball Betting Lines

01/21/2007 - Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Elton Brand scored 34 points, and the LA Clippers routed the Memphis Grizzlies, 112-91.

Sam Cassell scored 21 points and dished out 14 assists for the Clippers, who won their second in a row and fourth of six. Chris Kaman added 12 points and nine rebounds for LA, and Corey Maggette added 11 points and nine boards. Cuttino Mobley scored 11 points for the Clippers.

Pau Gasol scored 27 points and grabbed seven boards for Memphis, which has lost four of five. Rudy Gay scored 17 points, and Mike Miller scored 13 points for the Grizzlies. Hakim Warrick and Chucky Atkins contributed 10 points apiece off the bench for Memphis.

Memphis trailed by double-digits for the entire second half, never threatening in a game that was essentially over at halftime. The Grizzlies were down 69-49 after three quarters, on their way to the 21-point loss.

Brand scored nine in the first quarter, including a dunk with 42 seconds left that put the Clippers ahead 24-23, but a Roberts layup and an Atkins three at the buzzer sent the Grizzlies into the second quarter ahead 28-24.

The Clippers exploded in the second quarter, and the Memphis offense was nonexistent as LA took control of the game. The Clippers outscored the Grizzlies 39-12 in the second.

A 14-5 stretch was closed by a Maggette layup giving LA a 38-33 lead midway through the quarter. After two Gasol free throws that made it 38-35, LA ripped off 15-3 run, taking a 53-37 lead after a three-point play by Mobley with four and a half minutes left in the first half.

LA closed the quarter with eight straight points, taking a 63-40 lead into the break after a Cassell layup with two seconds left in the half.

Game Notes

The Grizzlies fell to 2-18 on the road...LA outscored Memphis in the paint 60-38...24 of Brand's 34 points came in the first half...Memphis hit only 5- of-20 from behind the arc.

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.